Sport Picks
Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Honduras
Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca 
AI Match Summary
Lobos UPNFM host Motagua in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lobos UPNFM at 1.25 goals for, 1.5 against; Motagua at 1.59 for, 0.73 against. Past meetings favor Motagua slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.00) point toward Motagua. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Motagua carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lobos UPNFM | Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 37 |
| Wins | 9 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Lobos UPNFM scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Lobos UPNFM went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Motagua has conceded goals in 57% of their last 37 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lobos UPNFM
(Home)Motagua
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:8 | 29 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Motagua | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 4 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Olancho | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 6 | Estrella | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 7 | Lobos UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 8 | CD Choloma | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:16 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 11 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11:28 | 6 |
