Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
11:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos UPNFM host Olancho in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Lobos UPNFM have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Olancho's 1.63 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Lobos UPNFM have won 1 to Olancho's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward Olancho. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lobos UPNFM
30%
Draws
34%
Olancho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lobos UPNFM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Olancho have won more games recently than Lobos UPNFM.
  • Model gives Lobos UPNFM a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 14%
Olancho Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos UPNFM Olancho
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
2:1
Feb 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
1:1
Apr 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 35 / 100
Olancho 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos UPNFM Olancho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lobos UPNFM's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Olancho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Lobos UPNFM remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lobos UPNFM VS Olancho
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos UPNFM

(Home)
01 May
Lobos UPNFM
2 : 1
Motagua
27 Apr
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
23 Apr
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 1
Genesis FC
19 Apr
Platense
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
13 Apr
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 1
Real Espana
Page 1 of 6

Olancho

(Away)
15 May
Genesis FC
1 : 1
Olancho
13 May
Olancho
0 : 2
Motagua
10 May
Motagua
1 : 2
Olancho
07 May
Olancho
1 : 3
Genesis FC
01 May
Olancho
2 : 2
Genesis FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua00000:00
2Olimpia00000:00
3Marathon00000:00
4Real Espana00000:00
5Platense00000:00
6Juticalpa00000:00
7Atletico Independiente00000:00
8Lobos UPNFM00000:00
9Estrella00000:00
10Genesis FC00000:00
11Olancho00000:00
12CD Choloma00000:00
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)