Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Locomotive Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Bonepanseo P.
63'
Verulidze J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Locomotive Tbilisi and Betlemi Keda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Locomotive Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Locomotive Tbilisi
6%
Draws
4%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Locomotive Tbilisi come out ahead of Betlemi Keda on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Locomotive Tbilisi taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Locomotive Tbilisi have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locomotive Tbilisi Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
1:0
May 1, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
5:0
Nov 13, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Betlemi Keda vs Locomotive Tbilisi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locomotive Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonepanseo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Betlemi Keda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locomotive Tbilisi 85 / 100
Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locomotive Tbilisi Betlemi Keda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Betlemi Keda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Locomotive Tbilisi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Locomotive Tbilisi VS Betlemi Keda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Locomotive Tbilisi

(Home)
26 Jun
Basa
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
21 Jun
Iveria Khashuri
0 : 0
Locomotive Tbilisi
15 Jun
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 : 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
28 May
Khobi
0 : 2
Locomotive Tbilisi
21 May
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 : 0
Margveti 2006
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Betlemi Keda

(Away)
26 Jun
Iveria Khashuri
5 : 4
Betlemi Keda
21 Jun
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
WIT Georgia
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1
Betlemi Keda
02 Jun
Betlemi Keda
2 : 2
Khobi
28 May
Betlemi Keda
0 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443
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