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Lodde vs Nosaby IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ahlin A. G.
27' Event
Jansson F.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Ayonuga O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 game between Lodde and Nosaby IF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lodde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lodde
15%
Draws
37%
Nosaby IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lodde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nosaby IF come out ahead of Lodde on wins alone.
  • Lodde are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lodde Clean Sheet 17%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lodde Nosaby IF
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lodde vs Nosaby IF
2:1
Apr 19, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Lodde
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lodde Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahlin A. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Nosaby IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayonuga O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lodde 41 / 100
Nosaby IF 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lodde Nosaby IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nosaby IF conceded in 81% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lodde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lodde scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nosaby IF
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lodde

(Home)
21 Aug
Lodde
1 : 3
GAIS
04 Jun
Lodde
4 : 3
Rosengard
19 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 4
Lodde
13 Oct
Lodde
3 : 4
Hogaborgs
05 Oct
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Lodde
Page 1 of 6

Nosaby IF

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
22 Aug
Nosaby IF
5 : 0
Torns
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)