Sport Picks

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Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Hristo Bonev, Plovdiv
Lok. Plovdiv Logo

Lok. Plovdiv

2 - 1
FT
Botev Plovdiv Logo

Botev Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Zwarts J.
Assist: Pavlov T.
25'
Iliev N.
34' Event
Iliev N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lok. Plovdiv in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lok. Plovdiv
15%
Draws
59%
Botev Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv have won more games recently than Lok. Plovdiv.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Botev Plovdiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 17%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
May 25, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1
May 3, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:2
Apr 8, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Iliev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv 23 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lok. Plovdiv found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Botev Plovdiv has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Lok. Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv VS Botev Plovdiv
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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Botev Plovdiv

(Away)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)