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Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mladenovski M.
Own Goal
62' Event
Own Goal
89' Event
Stojakovic A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lok. Zagreb in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Lok. Zagreb
35%
Draws
45%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varazdin lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Varazdin are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 16%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Zagreb Varazdin
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
2:1
May 9, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb
4:2
Sep 20, 2025 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Zagreb 11 / 100
Varazdin 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Zagreb Varazdin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lok. Zagreb scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Varazdin has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lok. Zagreb has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Zagreb VS Varazdin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Zagreb

(Home)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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Varazdin

(Away)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
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