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Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mladenovski M.
Own Goal
62' Event
Own Goal
89' Event
Stojakovic A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lok. Zagreb in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lok. Zagreb
44%
Draws
20%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varazdin lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Zagreb Varazdin
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
2:1
May 9, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb
4:2
Sep 20, 2025 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Zagreb 36 / 100
Varazdin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Zagreb Varazdin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Zagreb has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lok. Zagreb scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Varazdin let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Zagreb VS Varazdin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%