Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokbatan vs Cebrayil

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

2 - 0
FT
Cebrayil Logo

Cebrayil

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Balijani S.
70' Event
Nadirov F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between Lokbatan and Cebrayil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokbatan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lokbatan
15%
Draws
64%
Cebrayil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cebrayil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Cebrayil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lokbatan are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular I Liqa 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cebrayil here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 13%
Cebrayil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokbatan Cebrayil
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Lokbatan
3:0
Jan 31, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Cebrayil
2:0
Oct 2, 2024 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Lokbatan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Balijani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nadirov F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cebrayil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokbatan 40 / 100
Cebrayil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokbatan Cebrayil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokbatan found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Cebrayil let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Cebrayil's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokbatan VS Cebrayil
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokbatan

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Cebrayil

(Away)
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Cebrayil
07 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Baku Sporting
30 Apr
Sabail
6 : 0
Cebrayil
22 Apr
Cebrayil
2 : 1
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Cebrayil 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)