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Lokomotiv Gomel vs Belarus U19

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2025 Lokomotiv Stadium, Gomel
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Galiakhmedov R. In: Zhivushko S.
Out: Galiakhmedov R.
46'
Sub
Puzach A. In: Nekrasov N.
Out: Puzach A.
53'
Zhivushko S.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2025 game between Lokomotiv Gomel and Belarus U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotiv Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lokomotiv Gomel
15%
Draws
46%
Belarus U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belarus U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotiv Gomel come out ahead of Belarus U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Belarus U19 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lokomotiv Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Belarus U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Gomel Belarus U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Lokomotiv Gomel vs Belarus U19
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Belarus U19 vs Lokomotiv Gomel
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrusevich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Belarus U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Gomel 10 / 100
Belarus U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Gomel Belarus U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Gomel scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Lokomotiv Gomel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Belarus U19 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Gomel VS Belarus U19
1.57 Goals Scored 0.75
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Gomel

(Home)
23 Nov
FK Baranovici
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Gomel
20 Nov
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Gomel
15 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
1 : 0
Belarus U19
08 Nov
Uni X Labs
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Gomel
01 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
3 : 0
Osipovichi
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Belarus U19

(Away)
21 May
Belarus U19
3 : 0
Slovakia U19
18 May
Belarus U19
6 : 0
San Marino U19
15 May
Latvia U19
0 : 3
Belarus U19
26 Nov
Belarus U19
2 : 0
FC Gomel 2
23 Nov
Belarus U19
2 : 1
FC Slonim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Baranovici 34 23 5 6 75:29 74
2 Dnepr Mogilev 34 20 7 7 59:37 67
3 Lokomotiv Gomel 34 18 10 6 56:34 64
4 Belshina 34 19 6 9 64:40 63
5 FK Lida 34 19 2 13 74:44 59
6 BumProm Gomel 34 16 11 7 56:36 59
7 Niva Dolbizno 34 15 10 9 68:56 55
8 BATE 2 34 15 8 11 70:52 53
9 Ostrovets 34 16 3 15 56:48 51
10 FC Minsk 2 34 15 6 13 49:47 51
11 Volna Pinsk 34 13 9 12 65:55 48
12 Belarus U19 34 11 9 14 45:48 42
13 Din. Minsk 2 34 10 10 14 34:40 40
14 Uni X Labs 34 10 6 18 54:72 36
15 FC Gomel 2 34 8 4 22 34:83 28
16 Orsha 34 7 4 23 41:94 25
17 Osipovichi 34 6 6 22 42:77 24
18 FC Slonim 34 6 2 26 30:80 20
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)