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Lokomotiva Kozarovce vs Gbely

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiva Kozarovce play Gbely in the 4. liga - West 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lokomotiva Kozarovce averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Gbely averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Lokomotiva Kozarovce won 2, Gbely won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 9, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Lokomotiva Kozarovce and 0.99 for Gbely. This points to a Gbely double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Lokomotiva Kozarovce
20%
Draws
42%
Gbely
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gbely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lokomotiva Kozarovce picked up more points recently compared to Gbely.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Lokomotiva Kozarovce Clean Sheet 23%
Gbely Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiva Kozarovce Gbely
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Lokomotiva Kozarovce
1:4
Nov 5, 2023 4. liga - West
Lokomotiva Kozarovce vs Gbely
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 4. liga - West
Lokomotiva Kozarovce vs Gbely
1:3
Nov 13, 2022 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Lokomotiva Kozarovce
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiva Kozarovce 39 / 100
Gbely 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiva Kozarovce Gbely

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gbely or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lokomotiva Kozarovce attacking → ← attacking Gbely

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiva Kozarovce scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Gbely let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lokomotiva Kozarovce went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gbely lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75