Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lommedalen vs Modum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 4 2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lommedalen
15%
Draws
42%
Modum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Modum haven't matched Lommedalen's recent run of results.
  • Lommedalen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lommedalen Clean Sheet 19%
Modum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommedalen Modum
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Lommedalen
1:4
Apr 25, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Modum
0:0
Sep 27, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Modum
3:3
Jun 7, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Lommedalen
2:4
Aug 12, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Modum
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommedalen 85 / 100
Modum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommedalen Modum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommedalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommedalen found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Modum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Modum has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lommedalen VS Modum
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommedalen

(Home)
18 Apr
Lommedalen
0 : 2
Skeid
22 Oct
Lyn
3 : 1
Lommedalen
15 Oct
Lommedalen
1 : 2
Manglerud Star
08 Oct
Lommedalen
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
03 Oct
Strommen 2
0 : 4
Lommedalen
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Modum

(Away)
23 Aug
Modum
0 : 6
Stromsgodset
24 Oct
Sandefjord 2
2 : 4
Modum
17 Oct
Modum
0 : 4
Vestfossen
10 Oct
Modum
2 : 0
Skarphedin
03 Oct
Tonsberg
4 : 1
Modum
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