Sport Picks

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London City Lionesses W vs Chelsea W

England England

WSL Hayes Lane, London
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kaneryd J.
Assist: Beever-Jones A.
29'
Marcetto M.
46'
Sub
van de Donk D. In: Corrales L.
Out: van de Donk D.

AI Match Summary

The WSL game between London City Lionesses W and Chelsea W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
London City Lionesses W
33%
Draws
40%
Chelsea W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea W taking it.
  • Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
London City Lionesses W Clean Sheet 12%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric London City Lionesses W Chelsea W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 23
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 WSL
London City Lionesses W vs Chelsea W
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 WSL
Chelsea W vs London City Lionesses W
2:0
Apr 16, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs London City Lionesses W
5:0
Nov 18, 2020 Women's League Cup
London City Lionesses W vs Chelsea W
0:0
Aug 26, 2015 Women's League Cup
Chelsea W vs London City Lionesses W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

London City Lionesses W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodwin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chelsea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaneryd J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

London City Lionesses W 27 / 100
Chelsea W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
London City Lionesses W Chelsea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

London City Lionesses W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

London City Lionesses W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chelsea W conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

London City Lionesses W VS Chelsea W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

London City Lionesses W

(Home)
16 May
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1
Aston Villa W
03 May
Tottenham W
2 : 1
London City Lionesses W
26 Apr
London City Lionesses W
5 : 1
Leicester W
29 Mar
West Ham W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
21 Mar
London City Lionesses W
1 : 1
Chelsea W
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea W

(Away)
16 May
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Manchester United W
10 May
Chelsea W
2 : 3
Manchester City W
03 May
Leicester W
1 : 3
Chelsea W
26 Apr
Everton W
1 : 4
Chelsea W
06 Apr
Chelsea W
2 : 1
Tottenham W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W22181362:1955
2Arsenal W22156153:1451
3Chelsea W22154344:2049
4Manchester United W22117438:2240
5Tottenham W22113835:3836
6London City Lionesses W22831128:3527
7Brighton W22751027:2826
8Everton W22721325:3723
9Aston Villa W22551228:4820
10West Ham W22541320:4519
11Liverpool W22451321:3417
12Leicester W22231711:529
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)