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Lorenskog vs Senja

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Whalen T.
41' Event
Ahmed Z.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Gullteig D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 2022 game between Lorenskog and Senja finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorenskog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lorenskog
30%
Draws
39%
Senja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Senja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lorenskog carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lorenskog here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 20%
Senja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorenskog Senja
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.94 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.54 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lorenskog vs Senja
6:1
Jun 12, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Senja vs Lorenskog
1:5
Oct 14, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Lorenskog vs Senja
4:2
Jul 2, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Senja vs Lorenskog
2:1
Sep 1, 2013 Division 2 - Group 4
Lorenskog vs Senja
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorenskog Compare

Top Goalscorer Gullteig D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ostadi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Senja Compare

Top Goalscorer Whalen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorenskog 32 / 100
Senja 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorenskog Senja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorenskog found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Senja has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lorenskog remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lorenskog VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorenskog

(Home)
20 Sept
Stjordals Blink
2 : 0
Lorenskog
13 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Lorenskog
06 Sept
Lorenskog
1 : 1
Junkeren
30 Aug
Levanger
5 : 0
Lorenskog
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
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Senja

(Away)
10 Apr
Senja
1 : 6
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
23 Oct
Skjetten
2 : 2
Senja
16 Oct
Senja
0 : 0
Skjervoy
09 Oct
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Senja
01 Oct
Senja
2 : 1
Floya
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