Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Bekhti N.
14'
14'
Bekhti N.
22'
22'
Dechilly P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-7. The second leg ended 1-7.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Lorient W haven't matched Le Mans W's recent run of results.
- Le Mans W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Le Mans W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Le Mans W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lorient W Clean Sheet 20%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorient W | Le Mans W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 23 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.34 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Lorient W vs Le Mans W
1:7
Mar 11, 2018 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lorient W
1:2
Oct 8, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Lorient W vs Le Mans W
1:1
Mar 19, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lorient W
0:0
Oct 16, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Lorient W vs Le Mans W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorient W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hoarau F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Le Mans W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bekhti N.
3 Goals Assists Leader Dechilly P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorient W 10 / 100
Le Mans W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorient W Le Mans W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Lorient W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (32 games).
Le Mans W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.
Le Mans W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Le Mans W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorient W
(Home) 11 Jan
Lorient W
1 : 7 Le Mans W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1 Lorient W
09 Jan
Lorient W
0 : 9 Paris FC W
20 May
Metz W
4 : 0 Lorient W
13 May
Lorient W
1 : 4 Brest W
Page 1 of 7
11 Jan
Lorient W
1 : 7 Le Mans W
09 Jan
Lorient W
0 : 9 Paris FC W
13 May
Lorient W
1 : 4 Brest W
22 Apr
Lorient W
0 : 1 Saint-Malo W
25 Mar
Lorient W
0 : 0 Rouen W
Page 1 of 4
Le Mans W
(Away) 13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1 Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2 Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0 Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0 Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1 Le Mans W
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1 Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2 Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0 Le Mans W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1 Le Mans W
08 Aug
Fleury 91 W
0 : 2 Le Mans W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Dijon W 4
Toulouse W 1
Rennes W 0
Fleury 91 W 5
PSG W 2
Lille W 0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W 1
Montpellier W 2
Troyes W 1
Chatenoy W 3
Caen W 3
La Roche W 2
Roubaix W 1
Saint-Malo W 2
Lens W 0
Paris FC W 2
Bergerac W 0
Nantes W 9
Lorient W 1
Le Mans W 7
Albi-Marssac W 1
Grenoble W 2
Esperance Pernoise W 0
Strasbourg W 2
Thonon Evian W 0
Marseille W 1
St Etienne W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W 1
Nice W 4
Le Havre W 4
Auxerre W 1
1/8-finals
Dijon W 1
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 5
Montpellier W 0
Chatenoy W 1
Caen W 2
Saint-Malo W 0
Paris FC W 1
Nantes W 5
Le Mans W 0
Grenoble W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Marseille W 1
OL Lyonnes W 5
Nice W 1
Le Havre W 2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W 1
PSG W 2
Caen W 0
Paris FC W 2
Nantes W 0
Strasbourg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 7
Le Havre W 0
Semi-finals
PSG W 2
Paris FC W 1
Strasbourg W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Final
PSG W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4
