Sport Picks
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
USA
MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA 
Match Events
23'
23'
Tillman T.
51'
51'
Leroux B.
53'
53'
Bouda O.
Assist: Werner T.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Los Angeles FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Los Angeles FC haven't matched San Jose Earthquakes's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Los Angeles FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 15%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:4
Sep 14, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
2:4
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Los Angeles FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
San Jose Earthquakes Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouda O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Werner T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Los Angeles FC 84 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Los Angeles FC San Jose Earthquakes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Los Angeles FC's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Los Angeles FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
San Jose Earthquakes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Los Angeles FC VS San Jose Earthquakes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Los Angeles FC
(Home) 26 Jul
Los Angeles FC
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City
23 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1 Real Salt Lake
18 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3 Los Angeles FC
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0 El Salvador
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Los Angeles FC
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City
23 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1 Real Salt Lake
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0 El Salvador
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
11 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 4 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 4
San Jose Earthquakes
(Away) 26 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
23 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
0 : 4 Orlando City
04 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 2 Club Tijuana
24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
21 May
Colorado Rapids
2 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
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24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
21 May
Colorado Rapids
2 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
14 May
Seattle Sounders
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
02 May
Toronto FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
26 Apr
St. Louis City
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
