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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Angeles Galaxy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Los Angeles Galaxy
22%
Draws
60%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portland Timbers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland Timbers haven't matched Los Angeles Galaxy's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portland Timbers's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 12%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy Portland Timbers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
2:4
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 19 / 100
Portland Timbers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Portland Timbers conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles Galaxy stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles Galaxy VS Portland Timbers
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles Galaxy

(Home)
23 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
Los Angeles FC
12 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0
Club America
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
El Salvador
24 May
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Houston Dynamo
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Portland Timbers

(Away)
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
FC Dallas
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5
Portland Timbers
24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
17 May
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
13 May
CF Montreal
2 : 2
Portland Timbers
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