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Los Cabos United vs Chapulineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Cabos United host Chapulineros in the Primera Premier. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Los Cabos United have averaged 1 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Chapulineros's 1.07 scored and 1.36 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Chapulineros. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Los Cabos United
20%
Draws
73%
Chapulineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chapulineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Los Cabos United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Chapulineros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 18%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Cabos United Chapulineros
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Cabos United 10 / 100
Chapulineros 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Cabos United Chapulineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapulineros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapulineros let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Los Cabos United scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Los Cabos United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Chapulineros registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Cabos United VS Chapulineros
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Cabos United

(Home)
08 Nov
Montaneses
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
01 Nov
Los Cabos United
1 : 4
Celaya
24 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 0
Los Cabos United
10 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
05 Oct
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Cordobes FC
Page 1 of 6

Chapulineros

(Away)
01 Nov
Lobos ULMX
1 : 1
Chapulineros
24 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Montaneses
03 Oct
Tapachula
2 : 3
Chapulineros
26 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 3
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)