Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Ayacucho

Peru Peru

Liga 1 2025 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ganoza M.
38'
Orue D.
44'
Gonzalez H.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025 game between Los Chankas and Ayacucho finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Chankas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Los Chankas
15%
Draws
85%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayacucho haven't matched Los Chankas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ayacucho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Los Chankas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Ayacucho
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Ayacucho vs Los Chankas
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Ayacucho
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Los Chankas
1:2
Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Ayacucho vs Los Chankas
0:0
Jul 26, 2023 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Los Chankas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Bueno P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ayacucho Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 10 / 100
Ayacucho 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayacucho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Ayacucho let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Ayacucho lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Los Chankas VS Ayacucho
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Chankas

(Home)
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3
FBC Melgar
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Ayacucho

(Away)
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1
Ayacucho
09 Aug
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Deportes 17 12 4 1 29:13 40
2 Cusco 17 11 3 3 29:15 36
3 Sporting Cristal 17 9 4 4 29:13 31
4 A. Lima 17 9 4 4 30:19 31
5 Cienciano 17 8 3 6 25:21 27
6 Los Chankas 17 9 0 8 21:28 27
7 Comerciantes Unidos 17 7 5 5 20:21 26
8 FBC Melgar 17 6 7 4 24:17 25
9 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 6 7 4 20:21 25
10 AD Tarma 17 7 4 6 19:20 25
11 Alianza Atl. 17 6 5 6 15:12 23
12 Sport Huancayo 17 5 3 9 28:28 18
13 Alianza Huanuco 17 5 2 10 23:33 17
14 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 19:24 16
15 Sport Boys 17 4 4 9 14:25 16
16 Juan Pablo II 17 3 5 9 13:23 14
17 Ayacucho 17 4 2 11 16:29 14
18 Cajamarca 17 3 4 10 16:28 13
19 Binacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 1 2025 (Play Offs)