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Lossiemouth vs Newton Stewart

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lossiemouth play Newton Stewart in the Scottish Cup 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lossiemouth averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Newton Stewart averaged 0.75 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. In past meetings, Lossiemouth won 1, Newton Stewart won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 26, 2009 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Lossiemouth and 1.69 for Newton Stewart. This points to a Lossiemouth double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Lossiemouth
19%
Draws
26%
Newton Stewart
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Lossiemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Lossiemouth picked up more points recently compared to Newton Stewart.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 13%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lossiemouth Newton Stewart
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 4 1
Draws 5 3
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.71 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2009 Scottish Cup
Lossiemouth vs Newton Stewart
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lossiemouth 52 / 100
Newton Stewart 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lossiemouth Newton Stewart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lossiemouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lossiemouth & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lossiemouth attacking → ← attacking Newton Stewart

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lossiemouth scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Newton Stewart let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lossiemouth went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Newton Stewart lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 6
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00