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Loudoun United vs North Carolina FC

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

North Carolina FC in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Carolina FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Loudoun United
20%
Draws
38%
North Carolina FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loudoun United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Carolina FC lately — more wins on the board than Loudoun United.
  • Model gives Loudoun United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and North Carolina FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 18%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loudoun United North Carolina FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs North Carolina FC
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Loudoun United vs North Carolina FC
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loudoun United 41 / 100
North Carolina FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loudoun United North Carolina FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loudoun United scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: North Carolina FC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Loudoun United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loudoun United VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loudoun United

(Home)
25 Jul
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Loudoun United
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0
Loudoun United
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2
Sporting Jax
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1
Loudoun United
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North Carolina FC

(Away)
09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2
Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0
Loudoun United
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1
North Carolina FC
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0
Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2
Phoenix Rising
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