Sport Picks
Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay
USA
USL Championship Segra Field 
AI Match Summary
Loudoun United play Tampa Bay in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Loudoun United averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Tampa Bay averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Loudoun United won 3, Tampa Bay won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Loudoun United and 2.13 for Tampa Bay. This points to a Tampa Bay double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Loudoun United picked up more points recently compared to Tampa Bay.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Loudoun United | Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Loudoun United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Tampa Bay let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Loudoun United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Tampa Bay lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19:41 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lexington | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |