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Loughborough Lightning W vs Nottingham W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Women's National League North 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North 2022/2023 game between Loughborough Lightning W and Nottingham W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Loughborough Lightning W
30%
Draws
37%
Nottingham W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham W come out ahead of Loughborough Lightning W on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 18%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughborough Lightning W Nottingham W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2023 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Nottingham W
2:2
Oct 13, 2022 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Loughborough Lightning W
4:1
Apr 13, 2022 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Nottingham W
1:1
Nov 18, 2021 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Loughborough Lightning W
4:0
Oct 11, 2020 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Loughborough Lightning W
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughborough Lightning W 32 / 100
Nottingham W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughborough Lightning W Nottingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Loughborough Lightning W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Loughborough Lightning W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Loughborough Lightning W VS Nottingham W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughborough Lightning W

(Home)
04 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Norwich W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Huddersfield W
5 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2
Watford W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham W 22 17 3 2 81:18 54
2 Wolverhampton W 22 17 3 2 61:17 54
3 Burnley W 22 16 4 2 66:28 52
4 Derby W 22 11 5 6 50:32 38
5 Brighouse Town W 22 8 7 7 28:27 31
6 Huddersfield W 22 7 5 10 36:43 26
7 AFC Fylde W 22 7 5 10 24:54 26
8 West Brom W 22 7 4 11 28:46 25
9 Liverpool Feds W 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Stoke City LFC W 22 7 3 12 32:49 24
11 Boldmere St Michaels W 22 5 1 16 27:61 16
12 Loughborough Lightning W 22 0 3 19 10:59 3
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