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Loughborough Lightning W vs Stoke City LFC W

England England

Women's National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North 2025/2026 game between Loughborough Lightning W and Stoke City LFC W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loughborough Lightning W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Loughborough Lightning W
17%
Draws
13%
Stoke City LFC W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Stoke City LFC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Loughborough Lightning W taking it.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%
Stoke City LFC W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughborough Lightning W Stoke City LFC W
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Stoke City LFC W
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Loughborough Lightning W
2:2
Dec 5, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Stoke City LFC W vs Loughborough Lightning W
4:2
Mar 5, 2023 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Loughborough Lightning W
3:0
Nov 27, 2022 Women’s FA Cup
Loughborough Lightning W vs Stoke City LFC W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughborough Lightning W 65 / 100
Stoke City LFC W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughborough Lightning W Stoke City LFC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Loughborough Lightning W scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Stoke City LFC W let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Loughborough Lightning W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loughborough Lightning W VS Stoke City LFC W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughborough Lightning W

(Home)
26 Apr
Loughborough Lightning W
6 : 0
Sporting Khalsa W
12 Apr
Halifax W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
29 Mar
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
22 Mar
Loughborough Lightning W
0 : 5
Wolverhampton W
08 Mar
Middlesbrough W
3 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
Page 1 of 7

Stoke City LFC W

(Away)
26 Apr
Burnley W
3 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
12 Apr
Stoke City LFC W
1 : 3
Wolverhampton W
29 Mar
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
22 Mar
Rugby Borough W
3 : 1
Stoke City LFC W
08 Mar
Stoke City LFC W
3 : 2
Liverpool Feds W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley W22202063:562
2Wolverhampton W22201170:1061
3Rugby Borough W22125543:2741
4Stoke City LFC W22103936:3133
5Middlesbrough W2287729:3031
6West Brom W2294929:3131
7Liverpool Feds W22751044:4526
8Derby W22641218:3922
9Hull City W22551223:5420
10Loughborough Lightning W22471121:4319
11Halifax W22441415:3816
12Sporting Khalsa W22311818:5610
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