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Loughgall vs Ballinamallard

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Lakeview Park, Loughgall
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballinamallard in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballinamallard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Loughgall
30%
Draws
54%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Loughgall have won more games recently than Ballinamallard.
  • Model gives Ballinamallard a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Loughgall have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 13%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Ballinamallard
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.35 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Ballinamallard
1:6
Feb 17, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Ballinamallard
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Loughgall
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Ballinamallard
2:1
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Loughgall vs Ballinamallard
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 19 / 100
Ballinamallard 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballinamallard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Loughgall's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Loughgall went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS Ballinamallard
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 7

Ballinamallard

(Away)
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3
Annagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 9 6 2 1 24:11 20
2 Annagh 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Glenavon 9 5 2 2 22:13 17
4 Queens University 9 5 1 3 18:7 16
5 Harland & Wolff 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
6 Newry City 9 4 3 2 15:16 15
7 Warrenpoint 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Ballinamallard 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
9 Institute 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
10 Dundela 9 2 5 2 18:18 11
11 Ards 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
12 Moyola 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
13 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 12:18 10
14 Strabane Athletic 9 2 2 5 10:19 8
15 Armagh 9 0 4 5 8:16 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 9 1 0 8 6:21 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)