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Loughgall vs Warrenpoint

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Lakeview Park, Loughgall
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Loughgall and Warrenpoint finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Loughgall
30%
Draws
41%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Loughgall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Loughgall a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Warrenpoint
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.56 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint
3:3
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Loughgall
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Warrenpoint
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 47 / 100
Warrenpoint 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughgall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loughgall's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Warrenpoint has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Loughgall has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS Warrenpoint
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
Page 1 of 7

Warrenpoint

(Away)
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 8 5 2 1 20:11 17
2 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
3 Queens University 8 5 1 2 18:6 16
4 Harland & Wolff 8 5 0 3 15:10 15
5 Glenavon 8 4 2 2 18:12 14
6 Ballinamallard 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Institute 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Newry City 8 3 3 2 12:14 12
9 Ards 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
10 Warrenpoint 8 3 1 4 15:14 10
11 Loughgall 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 8 2 2 4 9:17 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 8 0 4 4 8:14 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 8 1 0 7 6:19 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)