Sport Picks

England

FA Cup

Chester

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chester have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Lower Breck have conceded 1.1 and scored 2.4. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.13, favoring Lower Breck. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Lower Breck

20%

Draws

15%

Chester

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lower Breck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Lower Breck haven't matched Chester's recent run of results.
Lower Breck are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Chester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Lower Breck Clean Sheet 20%

Chester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lower Breck	Chester
Matches Played	10	35
Wins	6	19
Draws	0	6
Losses	4	10
Goals Scored	2.4	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lower Breck 85 / 100

Chester 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lower Breck Chester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lower Breck Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lower Breck scored in 90% of their last 10 outings.

Lower Breck went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chester lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Chester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lower Breck VS Chester

2.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 25%

75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lower Breck

(Home)

12 Sept

Stalybridge

3 : 2

Lower Breck

05 Sept

Lower Breck

5 : 1

Thornaby

29 Aug

Lower Breck

4 : 0

North Ferriby FC

04 Oct

Stockton

2 : 0

Lower Breck

19 Sept

Stalybridge

0 : 3

Lower Breck

Page 1 of 2

Chester

(Away)

12 Sept

Buxton

3 : 1

Chester

08 Sept

Chester

0 : 1

Merthyr Town

05 Sept

Hebburn Town

1 : 1

Chester

31 Aug

Chester

0 : 1

Morecambe

29 Aug

Hereford

1 : 1

Chester

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Heaton Stannington 1

Knaresborough Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Trafford 3

AFC Emley 3

Bishop Auckland 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Bury FC 8

Wythenshawe FC 0

Workington 3

Marske United 0

Vauxhall 0

Dunston 2

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Redcar Town 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Buxton -

TBD -

Whitby 2

Ashton United 5

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Lower Breck 5

Thornaby 1

TBD -

Chester -

Northwich Victoria 2

Atherton Collieries 3

Prescot Cables 2

Horbury Town 0

Redcar Athletic 1

Stocksbridge 0

TBD -

Macclesfield -

Warrington Rylands 3

Hyde 1

TBD -

Chorley -

Hebburn Town -

TBD -

Stockton 3

Guiseley 4

Shildon 2

Warrington Town 6

South Liverpool 4

Prestwich Heys 3

South Shields -

TBD -

Avro 0

Witton Albion 2

Morecambe -

TBD -

Southport -

Garforth 1

United of Manchester 5

Ossett United 1

Pontefract Collieries 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Bradford PA 2

Lancaster 3

Tadcaster Albion 1

Bromsgrove 2

Nuneaton 0

Sporting Khalsa 0

Leek Town 5

North Ferriby FC 0

Barton Town 2

Bourne 2

Boldmere St Michaels 3

Leamington 3

Ilkeston 1

Sherwood Colliery 2

Gainsborough 4

Alvechurch 2

Wolverhampton City 0

Lye Town 1

Racing Club Warwick 5

Harborough -

TBD -

Stourbridge 1

Rushall 3

Telford -

TBD -

Worksop -

Wellingborough 3

Kettering 4

Quorn 2

Shepshed 1

Halesowen 3

Basford Utd. 1

Stamford 0

Mickleover 1

Hednesford -

TBD -

Coventry United 2

Bedworth United 1

Spalding United -

TBD -

Hanley Town 2

Abbey Hulton 1

Knowle 1

Worcester 2

Alfreton 0

Stratford 2

Stafford 3

Northampton on Chenecks 0

TBD -

Hereford -

Northampton Sileby 0

Anstey Nomads 4

Cleethorpes 1

Newcastle Town 2

Malvern Town 1

Redditch 5

Belper Town 0

Evesham 3

FC Witham Town 3

Stotfold 2

St. Albans 2

Hashtag 0

Leighton Town 1

Gorleston 4

London Lions 2

Bury Town 4

Chesham -

TBD -

Ware 6

Fakenham 4

Stortford 2

Berkhamsted Town 3

Hendon 7

Hullbridge 3

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 4

Grays 0

Leiston 5

Desborough Town 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 4

Ipswich Wanderers 0

Bedford -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Aveley 4

Cheshunt 2

Concord Rangers 2

Brentwood 4

Stanway Rovers 1

Needham Market 3

TBD -

Braintree -

Cambridge City 6

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Yaxley 1

Buckhurst Hill 4

Billericay -

TBD -

Frenford 0

Enfield Town 4

Harleston Town 3

Romford 1

Real Bedford 4

Royston Town 1

Dunstable 1

Woodford Town 3

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

Cornard United 0

Canvey Island 2

Newmarket 1

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Brantham 0

Waltham Abbey 7

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Three Bridges 0

Kingstonian 1

Leatherhead 3

Croydon Athletic 0

Westfield 1

Dartford 3

Hayes & Yeading 2

Camberley Town 1

Chertsey Town 3

Carshalton 2

Sittingbourne 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4

Lewes 2

Cray Wanderers 3

TBD -

Maidstone -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Egham Town 0

Chatham 4

Dulwich Hamlet 4

East Grinstead Town 0

Faversham 2

Welling 3

Southall FC 2

Cobham 1

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Whitehawk 2

Eastbourne Borough 4

Holmesdale 1

Windsor & Eton 5

Margate 1

Snodland 3

Redhill 1

Sheppey United 2

Walton & Hersham -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Ramsgate 1

Bracknell Town 0

Flackwell Heath 0

Hanwell Town 1

Burgess Hill 3

Jersey Bulls 1

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Crowborough 4

Whyteleafe 3

Uxbridge 3

Haywards Heath 0

TBD -

Farnborough -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Broadfields United 1

Chichester City 4

SE Dons 2

Erith Town 0

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Folkestone -

Ascot United 1

Pagham 3

Hanworth Villa 4

Whitstable Town 1

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Gloucester City 5

Mangotsfield 1

Torquay -

TBD -

Basingstoke 0

AFC Stoneham 1

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Wimborne 3

Portishead Town 1

Brixham 2

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Oxford City -

Fleetlands 0

Cirencester 3

TBD -

Farnham -

Winslow United 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Bath City 0

Weymouth 2

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Slimbridge 4

Wells City 0

Hungerford 4

Brackley -

TBD -

Portchester 2

Portland United 1

St. Blazey 1

Tiverton 2

Sholing 2

Andover New Street 0

Bishops Cleeve 2

Poole Town 1

Tadley Calleva 3

Laverstock & Ford 1

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Truro -

Falmouth Town 2

Frome Town 4

Gosport Borough 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Thame United 3

Reading City 2

Banbury 1

Exmouth Town 2

Yate 3

Devizes Town 0

Chippenham Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Salisbury -

TBD -

Taunton Town 4

Millbrook 0

TBD -

Quarter-finals

Heaton Stannington -

Trafford -

AFC Emley -

Spennymoor -

Bury FC -

Workington -

Dunston -

Scarborough Athletic -

Redcar Town -

Darlington FC -

Buxton -

Ashton United -

Marine -

Radcliffe -

Lower Breck -

Chester -

Atherton Collieries -

Prescot Cables -

Redcar Athletic -

Macclesfield -

Warrington Rylands -

Chorley -

Hebburn Town -

Guiseley -

Warrington Town -

South Liverpool -

South Shields -

Witton Albion -

Morecambe -

Southport -

United of Manchester -

Ossett United -

Bradford PA -

Lancaster -

Bromsgrove -

Leek Town -

Barton Town -

Boldmere St Michaels -

Leamington -

Gainsborough -

Alvechurch -

Racing Club Warwick -

Harborough -

Rushall -

Telford -

Worksop -

Kettering -

Quorn -

Halesowen -

Mickleover -

Hednesford -

Coventry United -

Spalding United -

Hanley Town -

Worcester -

Stratford -

Stafford -

Hereford -

Anstey Nomads -

Newcastle Town -

Redditch -

Evesham -

FC Witham Town -

St. Albans -

Gorleston -

Bury Town -

Chesham -

Ware -

Berkhamsted Town -

Hendon -

Hemel Hempstead -

Wingate & Finchley -

Hitchin -

Leiston -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Peterborough Sports -

Bedford -

King’s Lynn -

Aveley -

Brentwood -

Needham Market -

Braintree -

Cambridge City -

Buckhurst Hill -

Billericay -

Enfield Town -

Harleston Town -

Real Bedford -

Woodford Town -

Mulbarton Wanderers -

Canvey Island -

Chelmsford -

Waltham Abbey -

Dagenham & Red. -

Kingstonian -

Leatherhead -

Dartford -

Hayes & Yeading -

Chertsey Town -

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough -

Cray Wanderers -

Maidstone -

Slough Town -

Chatham -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Welling -

Southall FC -

Dorking Wanderers -

Eastbourne Borough -

Windsor & Eton -

Snodland -

Sheppey United -

Walton & Hersham -

Horsham FC -

Tonbridge -

Ramsgate -

Hanwell Town -

Burgess Hill -

Hampton & Richmond -

Crowborough -

Uxbridge -

Farnborough -

Maidenhead -

Ebbsfleet -

Chichester City -

SE Dons -

Dover Ath. -

Folkestone -

Pagham -

Hanworth Villa -

AFC Totton -

Gloucester City -

Torquay -

AFC Stoneham -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wimborne -

Dorchester -

Oxford City -

Cirencester -

Farnham -

Swindon Supermarine -

Weymouth -

Slimbridge -

Hungerford -

Brackley -

Portchester -

Tiverton -

Sholing -

Bishops Cleeve -

Tadley Calleva -

Merthyr Town -

Truro -

Frome Town -

Plymouth Parkway -

Thame United -

Exmouth Town -

Yate -

Chippenham Town -

Salisbury -

Taunton Town -

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Lower Breck vs Chester

England

Lower Breck

Chester

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lower Breck

Chester

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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