Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2024

LSPA

0 - 5

Riga Mariners

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Strautins E.

Own Goal

21'

Grazis A.

24'

Androsov D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Riga Mariners advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

LSPA

15%

Draws

57%

Riga Mariners

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Riga Mariners carry the better recent record into this one.
57% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
Riga Mariners arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Riga Mariners, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

LSPA Clean Sheet 10%

Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	LSPA	Riga Mariners
Matches Played	9	31
Wins	4	19
Draws	0	7
Losses	5	5
Goals Scored	1.67	2.58
Goals Conceded	3.22	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2024 Latvian Cup

LSPA vs Riga Mariners

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LSPA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Androsov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.64

Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LSPA 10 / 100

Riga Mariners 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

LSPA Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: LSPA scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Defensive concern: Riga Mariners conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: LSPA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

LSPA VS Riga Mariners

1 Goals Scored 3

5 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 50%

100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LSPA

(Home)

30 May

LSPA

1 : 5

FK Smiltene

18 May

RSU

5 : 1

LSPA

22 Jun

LSPA

0 : 5

Riga Mariners

29 May

LSPA

2 : 0

Riga United

18 May

Sigulda

0 : 5

LSPA

Page 1 of 2

Riga Mariners

(Away)

19 Sept

Valmiera

2 : 4

Riga Mariners

12 Sept

FK Smiltene

4 : 1

Riga Mariners

05 Sept

Riga Mariners

5 : 0

Rezekne

29 Aug

Riga Mariners

3 : 1

RFS 2

24 Aug

Riga FC 2

1 : 3

Riga Mariners

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Valmiera -

RFS -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

Bebri 3

JFC Viola 2

Skanste -

TBD -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Livani -

TBD -

Grobina -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Valka -

Sports United/Cesis -

TBD -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

Super Nova -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Sigulda -

TBD -

LSPA -

Riga United -

TBD -

Kadaga/Ostas -

Dinamo Riga -

TBD -

Iecava -

FK Union 0

Riga Mariners 2

TBD -

RSU -

TBD -

FK Metta -

Ogre United -

TBD -

Marupe -

Madona/BJSS -

TBD -

Kuldigas/Goldingen -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Jelgava -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Plavinas -

Talsi -

TBD -

Kekava-Auda -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

FK Alberts -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

Jules Verne -

TBD -

FK Cesis -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Aliance -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

1/64-finals

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Valmiera -

RFS -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors 3

Bebri 1

Skanste -

TBD -

Salaspils FK 7

Livani 2

TBD -

Grobina -

Lielupe 5

Valka 1

Sports United/Cesis 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 12

Super Nova -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Sigulda 0

LSPA 5

Riga United 3

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Dinamo Riga 1

Iecava 3

Riga Mariners 4

RSU 1

TBD -

FK Metta -

Ogre United -

TBD -

Marupe -

Madona/BJSS 4

Kuldigas/Goldingen 2

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Jelgava -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

DSVK Traktors 1

Plavinas 2

Talsi 3

Kekava-Auda 4

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele 4

FK Alberts 0

Rezekne -

TBD -

Jules Verne 2

FK Cesis 3

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Aliance 20

FK Limbazi 0

1/32-finals

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Valmiera -

RFS -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Leevon PPK 4

Upesciema Warriors 0

Skanste 6

Salaspils FK 1

TBD -

Grobina -

Lielupe 1

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

Super Nova 1

JFK Ventspils 2

TBD -

Riga FC -

LSPA 2

Riga United 0

Iecava 1

Riga Mariners 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

Ogre United 2

Marupe 7

Madona/BJSS 0

FK Smiltene 6

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Jelgava -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Plavinas 0

Kekava-Auda 5

Alberts JDFS 5

Bauskas / Memele 0

Rezekne 5

FK Cesis 0

AFA Olaine 3

Aliance 0

1/16-finals

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Valmiera -

RFS -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Leevon PPK 2

Skanste 1

TBD -

Grobina -

Rigas Futbola Skola 1

JFK Ventspils 2

TBD -

Riga FC -

LSPA 0

Riga Mariners 5

TBD -

FK Metta -

Marupe 3

FK Smiltene 1

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Jelgava -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Kekava-Auda 3

Alberts JDFS 4

Rezekne 1

AFA Olaine 5

1/8-finals

Tukums 2000 2

Valmiera 3

RFS 2

BFC Daugavpils 1

Leevon PPK 2

Grobina 1

JFK Ventspils 0

Riga FC 3

Riga Mariners 0

FK Metta 4

Marupe 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Jelgava 2

FK Liepaja 4

Alberts JDFS 1

AFA Olaine 2

Quarter-finals

Valmiera 3

RFS 4

Leevon PPK 0

Riga FC 4

FK Metta 1

FK Auda Riga 2

FK Liepaja 1

AFA Olaine 0

Semi-finals

RFS 2

Riga FC 1

FK Auda Riga 3

FK Liepaja 0

Final

RFS 4

FK Auda Riga 2

LSPA vs Riga Mariners

Latvia

LSPA

Riga Mariners

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

LSPA Compare

Riga Mariners Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

LSPA

Riga Mariners

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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