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LSPA vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Strautins E.
Own Goal
21' Event
Grazis A.
24' Event
Androsov D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Riga Mariners advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
LSPA
6%
Draws
90%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga Mariners carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • Riga Mariners arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga Mariners, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
LSPA Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LSPA Riga Mariners
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 4 17
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2024 Latvian Cup
LSPA vs Riga Mariners
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LSPA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Androsov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LSPA 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LSPA Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: LSPA scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Defensive concern: Riga Mariners conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: LSPA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

LSPA VS Riga Mariners
1 Goals Scored 1.63
5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LSPA

(Home)
30 May
LSPA
1 : 5
FK Smiltene
18 May
RSU
5 : 1
LSPA
22 Jun
LSPA
0 : 5
Riga Mariners
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
18 May
Sigulda
0 : 5
LSPA
Page 1 of 2

Riga Mariners

(Away)
18 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Riga Mariners
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
04 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 4
Riga Mariners
27 Jun
Riga Mariners
2 : 0
Marupe
20 Jun
Riga Mariners
1 : 0
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Tukums 2000-
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Valmiera-
RFS-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Upesciema Warriors-
TBD-
Bebri3
JFC Viola2
Skanste-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Livani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
Valka-
Sports United/Cesis-
TBD-
TBD-
Rigas Futbola Skola-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
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Riga FC-
Sigulda-
TBD-
TBD-
LSPA-
Riga United-
TBD-
TBD-
Kadaga/Ostas-
Dinamo Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
Iecava-
FK Union0
Riga Mariners2
TBD-
RSU-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ogre United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe-
Madona/BJSS-
TBD-
TBD-
Kuldigas/Goldingen-
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TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Jelgava-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
DSVK Traktors-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas-
Talsi-
TBD-
TBD-
Kekava-Auda-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bauskas / Memele-
FK Alberts-
TBD-
Rezekne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jules Verne-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Cesis-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aliance-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Limbazi-
1/64-finals
Tukums 2000-
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TBD-
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Valmiera-
RFS-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
Upesciema Warriors3
Bebri1
Skanste-
TBD-
Salaspils FK7
Livani2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Lielupe5
Valka1
Sports United/Cesis0
Rigas Futbola Skola12
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Sigulda0
LSPA5
Riga United3
Kadaga/Ostas2
Dinamo Riga1
Iecava3
Riga Mariners4
RSU1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ogre United-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe-
Madona/BJSS4
Kuldigas/Goldingen2
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Jelgava-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
DSVK Traktors1
Plavinas2
Talsi3
Kekava-Auda4
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
Bauskas / Memele4
FK Alberts0
Rezekne-
TBD-
Jules Verne2
FK Cesis3
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
Aliance20
FK Limbazi0
1/32-finals
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Leevon PPK4
Upesciema Warriors0
Skanste6
Salaspils FK1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Lielupe1
Rigas Futbola Skola2
Super Nova1
JFK Ventspils2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
LSPA2
Riga United0
Iecava1
Riga Mariners3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ogre United2
Marupe7
Madona/BJSS0
FK Smiltene6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Plavinas0
Kekava-Auda5
Alberts JDFS5
Bauskas / Memele0
Rezekne5
FK Cesis0
AFA Olaine3
Aliance0
1/16-finals
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
TBD-
Grobina-
Rigas Futbola Skola1
JFK Ventspils2
TBD-
Riga FC-
LSPA0
Riga Mariners5
TBD-
FK Metta-
Marupe3
FK Smiltene1
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Kekava-Auda3
Alberts JDFS4
Rezekne1
AFA Olaine5
1/8-finals
Tukums 20002
Valmiera3
RFS2
BFC Daugavpils1
Leevon PPK2
Grobina1
JFK Ventspils0
Riga FC3
Riga Mariners0
FK Metta4
Marupe1
FK Auda Riga4
Jelgava2
FK Liepaja4
Alberts JDFS1
AFA Olaine2
Quarter-finals
Valmiera3
RFS4
Leevon PPK0
Riga FC4
FK Metta1
FK Auda Riga2
FK Liepaja1
AFA Olaine0
Semi-finals
RFS2
Riga FC1
FK Auda Riga3
FK Liepaja0
Final
RFS4
FK Auda Riga2