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Lublinianka vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Belczowski K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 game between Lublinianka and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Lublinianka
17%
Draws
70%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski come out ahead of Lublinianka on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lublinianka Clean Sheet 19%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lublinianka Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Lublinianka vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:1
Oct 22, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Lublinianka
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lublinianka Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Belczowski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lublinianka 16 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lublinianka Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lublinianka's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lublinianka stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lublinianka

(Home)
22 Feb
Lublinianka
4 : 0
Hetman Zamosc
25 Jan
Lewart Lubartow
1 : 0
Lublinianka
17 Jul
Swidniczanka Swidnik
3 : 0
Lublinianka
24 Jan
Lublinianka
0 : 2
Swidniczanka Swidnik
17 Jun
Lublinianka
0 : 5
Stal Stalowa Wola
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Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

(Away)
22 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
7 : 1
Bochnia
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
01 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6 : 0
Star Starachowice
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stal Stalowa Wola34235672:2774
2Avia Swidnik341911458:2668
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34207775:3567
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341771061:3658
5Biala Podlaska341413763:4255
6Cracovia II341661269:4854
7Wisloka Debica341571254:4652
8Sokol Sieniawa341461457:6548
9Czarni Polaniec341521747:5847
10Podhale Nowy Targ341361559:4745
11Orleta Radzyn341341744:6343
12Chelmianka Chelm3410101445:4740
13Unia Tarnow3410101443:6640
14Wiazownica341171649:5940
15Korona Kielce II341091563:5839
16Sandomierz34762140:9127
17Lublinianka34722543:9223
18LKS Lagow341141927:6337
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)