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Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malole in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lubumbashi Sport
30%
Draws
23%
Malole
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lubumbashi Sport lately — more wins on the board than Malole.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 68%
Malole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubumbashi Sport Malole
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole
1:2
Jan 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole
1:0
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Malole
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubumbashi Sport 41 / 100
Malole 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubumbashi Sport Malole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lubumbashi Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malole let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Lubumbashi Sport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lubumbashi Sport found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lubumbashi Sport VS Malole
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubumbashi Sport

(Home)
05 Nov
Saint-Luc
0 : 1
Lubumbashi Sport
30 Oct
Lubumbashi Sport
1 : 0
Sanga Balende
26 Oct
Blessing
2 : 1
Lubumbashi Sport
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
Page 1 of 6

Malole

(Away)
04 Nov
Malole
1 : 1
Tanganyika
30 Oct
Manika
0 : 1
Malole
27 Oct
Malole
0 : 0
Simba
20 Oct
Don Bosco
1 : 1
Malole
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanganyika 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
2 Lubumbashi Sport 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Malole 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
4 St Eloi Lupopo 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
5 Don Bosco 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 Simba 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
7 Manika 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
8 Blessing 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 New Soger 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
10 Butras 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
11 Sanga Balende 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Saint-Luc 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
13 Mazembe 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celeste 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
2 Ufalya Simba 4 3 0 1 4:1 9
3 AS Maniema 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 FC MK Etancheite 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
5 Etoile de Kivu 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Etoile du Congo 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 FC Renaissance 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 AS Vita Club 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
9 Dauphins Noirs 4 0 3 1 0:1 3
10 Aigles du Congo 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
11 AC Rangers 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
12 New Jack 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
13 Novakin 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)