Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luckenwalde vs Bernburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luckenwalde in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luckenwalde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Luckenwalde
15%
Draws
85%
Bernburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bernburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luckenwalde lately — more wins on the board than Bernburg.
  • Model gives Bernburg a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Luckenwalde have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 20%
Bernburg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luckenwalde Bernburg
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.57 3.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Luckenwalde vs Bernburg
6:0
Aug 18, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Luckenwalde
0:7
May 8, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Luckenwalde vs Bernburg
3:0
Oct 7, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Luckenwalde
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luckenwalde 10 / 100
Bernburg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luckenwalde Bernburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bernburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bernburg let in goals in 100% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Away concern: Bernburg has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Luckenwalde's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luckenwalde VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luckenwalde

(Home)
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
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Bernburg

(Away)
07 Mar
Krieschow
8 : 0
Bernburg
29 Feb
Bernburg
1 : 2
Wacker Nordhausen II
22 Feb
Luckenwalde
6 : 0
Bernburg
14 Dec
Bernburg
4 : 5
Grimma
07 Dec
Bernburg
0 : 2
Halle
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