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Ludogorets II vs Gorna Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre, Razgrad
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Match Events

4' Event
Marinov A.
5' Event
Matos T.
29'
Iliev D.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets II in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ludogorets II
35%
Draws
42%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ludogorets II at 1.21 per game, Gorna at 0.96.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ludogorets II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 20%
Gorna Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets II Gorna
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.21 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Gorna
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets II vs Gorna
2:0
May 11, 2026 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Gorna
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets II vs Gorna
5:0
Nov 8, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Ludogorets II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets II Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets II 32 / 100
Gorna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets II Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets II's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gorna has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ludogorets II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets II VS Gorna
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
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Gorna

(Away)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
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