Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Lugano in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Thun have won more games recently than Lugano.
- Model gives Lugano a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lugano | Thun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lugano Compare
Thun Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lugano's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Lugano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lugano
(Home)Thun
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thun | 33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 74 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 60 |
| 3 | Lugano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Basel | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | Sion | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 52 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 48 |
| 7 | Luzern | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 40 |
| 8 | Servette | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 40 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | 39 |
| 10 | Zurich | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | 27 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | 19 |
