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Lugo B vs Villalonga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Nunez A.

AI Match Summary

Lugo B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lugo B
20%
Draws
22%
Villalonga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugo B have won more games recently than Villalonga.
  • Lugo B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo B Villalonga
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Villalonga
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Lugo B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Villalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 95 / 100
Villalonga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo B Villalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villalonga let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Lugo B found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lugo B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 7

Villalonga

(Away)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)