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Lugo vs Real Madrid B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Anxo Carro
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Celorio N.
27'
Perea C.
29' Event
Ortega J.

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid B in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lugo
39%
Draws
31%
Real Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugo haven't matched Real Madrid B's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lugo Clean Sheet 68%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo Real Madrid B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Real Madrid B
0:4
Aug 29, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Lugo
2:1
Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Lugo vs Real Madrid B
1:0
Aug 3, 2019 Club Friendly
Lugo vs Real Madrid B
2:0
Mar 9, 2014 LaLiga2
Lugo vs Real Madrid B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ciria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo 41 / 100
Real Madrid B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo Real Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Madrid B let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lugo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugo VS Real Madrid B
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328