Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Guerra S.
64' Event
Diaz N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luis Angel Firpo
33%
Draws
27%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Luis Angel Firpo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Luis Angel Firpo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Metapan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%
Metapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Metapan
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
1:1
May 7, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 50 / 100
Metapan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luis Angel Firpo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Metapan has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Luis Angel Firpo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Metapan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 7

Metapan

(Away)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FAS3
Cacahuatique2
Inter Santa Tecla2
Municipal Limeno3
Luis Angel Firpo3
Metapan2
Alianza FC1
Aguila4
Semi-finals
FAS2
Municipal Limeno1
Luis Angel Firpo2
Aguila3
Final
FAS3
Aguila0