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Lumezzane vs Arzignano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Moretti M.
44'
Motta M.
45'
Stivanello R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lumezzane and Arzignano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lumezzane
15%
Draws
46%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lumezzane haven't matched Arzignano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lumezzane a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 16%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane Arzignano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Arzignano
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Lumezzane
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Lumezzane
1:1
Sep 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Arzignano
1:0
Mar 1, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Arzignano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumezzane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Moretti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 36 / 100
Arzignano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Arzignano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Lumezzane remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS Arzignano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3
Renate
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
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Arzignano

(Away)
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0
Pro Vercelli
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0
Arzignano
15 Aug
Arzignano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)