Sport Picks

Zambia

Super League 2024/2025

Mutondo Stars

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lumwana Radiants play Mutondo Stars in the Super League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lumwana Radiants averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Mutondo Stars averaged 0.72 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Lumwana Radiants won 1, Mutondo Stars won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Lumwana Radiants and 0.99 for Mutondo Stars. This points to a Lumwana Radiants double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Lumwana Radiants

32%

Draws

31%

Mutondo Stars

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Lumwana Radiants

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Lumwana Radiants picked up more points recently compared to Mutondo Stars.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 16%

Over 3.5 Goals 10%

Over 4.5 Goals 5%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 23%

Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lumwana Radiants	Mutondo Stars
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	7
Draws	6	14
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.7	0.72
Goals Conceded	0.97	0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Super League

Lumwana Radiants vs Mutondo Stars

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Dec 1, 2024 Super League

Mutondo Stars vs Lumwana Radiants

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Mutondo Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Menyani L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumwana Radiants 38 / 100

Mutondo Stars 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lumwana Radiants Mutondo Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lumwana Radiants or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +60%

10.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lumwana Radiants attacking → ← attacking Mutondo Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumwana Radiants scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Mutondo Stars let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Lumwana Radiants went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mutondo Stars lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Power Dynamos	34	20	8	6	54:22	68
2	Zesco	34	17	12	5	34:20	63
3	Nkana	34	16	10	8	48:29	58
4	Red Arrows	34	15	11	8	32:24	56
5	Kabwe	34	13	12	9	38:27	51
6	Nkwazi	34	12	14	8	31:26	50
7	Green Buffaloes FC	34	11	12	11	34:35	45
8	Mufulira Wanderers	34	13	6	15	30:31	45
9	NAPSA Stars	34	9	17	8	24:22	44
10	Muza Fc	34	11	11	12	33:34	44
11	Nchanga Rangers	34	9	15	10	29:28	42
12	Green Eagles	34	9	14	11	32:34	41
13	Mutondo Stars	34	10	11	13	26:34	41
14	Zanaco	34	9	12	13	34:41	39
15	Atletico Lusaka	34	10	9	15	27:46	39
16	Forest Rangers	34	7	17	10	31:34	38
17	Lumwana Radiants	34	10	7	17	21:36	37
18	Indeni	34	3	6	25	20:55	15