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Lupa Frascati vs Tivoli Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fall A.
17' Event
Mastropietro A.
22' Event
Persano M.

AI Match Summary

Tivoli Calcio in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tivoli Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lupa Frascati
20%
Draws
44%
Tivoli Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tivoli Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Lupa Frascati have won more games recently than Tivoli Calcio.
  • Lupa Frascati are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 68%
Tivoli Calcio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupa Frascati Tivoli Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Frascati vs Tivoli Calcio
2:3
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Tivoli Calcio vs Lupa Frascati
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lupa Frascati Compare

Top Goalscorer Persano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Senesi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Tivoli Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mastropietro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupa Frascati 59 / 100
Tivoli Calcio 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupa Frascati Tivoli Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupa Frascati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lupa Frascati found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Tivoli Calcio has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lupa Frascati stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tivoli Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupa Frascati

(Home)
14 May
Paganese
3 : 2
Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1
Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1
Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1
Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Lupa Frascati
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Tivoli Calcio

(Away)
12 May
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 3
United Riccione
05 May
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 0
Fossombrone
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 2
Avezzano
14 Apr
AS Sora
5 : 0
Tivoli Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)