Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lupe ole Soaga vs Tupapa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023
Lupe ole Soaga Logo

Lupe ole Soaga

7 - 1
FT
Tupapa Logo

Tupapa

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Cunniff J.
37'
55' Event
Talilai D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lupe ole Soaga in this OFC Champions League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lupe ole Soaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lupe ole Soaga
15%
Draws
34%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lupe ole Soaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lupe ole Soaga at 2.83 per game, Tupapa at 2.11.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lupe ole Soaga taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupe ole Soaga Tupapa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.83 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.95 3.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 OFC Champions League
Lupe ole Soaga vs Tupapa
7:1
Jan 28, 2020 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Lupe ole Soaga
0:0
Jan 20, 2018 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Lupe ole Soaga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Cunniff J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Talilai D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.48

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Trego S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupe ole Soaga 83 / 100
Tupapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupe ole Soaga Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupe ole Soaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lupe ole Soaga found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Tupapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tupapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lupe ole Soaga VS Tupapa
3.4 Goals Scored 3.88
2.6 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
80% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupe ole Soaga

(Home)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
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Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lupe ole Soaga 3 3 0 0 29:1 9
2 Tupapa 3 2 0 1 10:7 6
3 Veitongo 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Ilaoa and To'omata 2 0 0 2 0:21 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Main)