Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitania FC vs FC Felgueiras

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa, Lourosa
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rocha L.
Own Goal
32'
Conceicao B.
39'
Parente T.

AI Match Summary

Lusitania FC in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lusitania FC
40%
Draws
29%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusitania FC haven't matched FC Felgueiras's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 17%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs FC Felgueiras
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Lusitania FC
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 Liga 3
FC Felgueiras vs Lusitania FC
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Liga 3
Lusitania FC vs FC Felgueiras
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Liga 3
FC Felgueiras vs Lusitania FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Arsenio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Felgueiras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 31 / 100
FC Felgueiras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC FC Felgueiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitania FC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

FC Felgueiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Lusitania FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS FC Felgueiras
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitania FC

(Home)
29 Jul
Lusitania FC
3 : 3
FC Porto B
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 5

FC Felgueiras

(Away)
22 Jul
Santa Clara
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
18 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
15 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 3
FC Felgueiras
11 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
3 : 1
FC Felgueiras
17 May
Oliveirense
1 : 5
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)