Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitania FC vs Oliveira de Frades

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lusitania FC
22%
Draws
18%
Oliveira de Frades
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lusitania FC lately — more wins on the board than Oliveira de Frades.
  • Lusitania FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Oliveira de Frades here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 18%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC Oliveira de Frades
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitania FC
3:1
Mar 20, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Oliveira de Frades
1:1
Dec 6, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitania FC
1:0
Sep 13, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Oliveira de Frades
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 58 / 100
Oliveira de Frades 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC Oliveira de Frades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira de Frades's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Lusitania FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Oliveira de Frades lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitania FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 7

Oliveira de Frades

(Away)
08 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
0 : 3
Mortagua FC
15 May
Lusitano FCV
1 : 0
Oliveira de Frades
08 May
Oliveira de Frades
3 : 1
Lusitania FC
30 Apr
Oliveira de Frades
1 : 2
FC Cesarense
24 Apr
Gafanha
1 : 1
Oliveira de Frades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sanjoanense1494127:1146
2FC Cesarense1483320:1438
3Lusitano FCV1454516:1034
4Mortagua FC1461713:1629
5Gafanha1454514:1727
6Lusitania FC1445513:1627
7Oliveira de Frades1433815:2222
8Bustelo1432910:2218
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)