Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitano GC vs Olhanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lusitano GC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitano GC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lusitano GC
15%
Draws
36%
Olhanense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusitano GC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Olhanense haven't matched Lusitano GC's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Lusitano GC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 68%
Olhanense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano GC Olhanense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs Olhanense
2:1
Sep 25, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Olhanense vs Lusitano GC
1:2
Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Olhanense vs Lusitano GC
1:1
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Lusitano GC vs Olhanense
0:0
Sep 27, 2020 Taça de Portugal
Olhanense vs Lusitano GC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano GC 77 / 100
Olhanense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano GC Olhanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitano GC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olhanense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Lusitano GC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Olhanense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano GC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano GC

(Home)
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
08 Aug
Lusitano GC
0 : 1
Atletico CP
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Olhanense

(Away)
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Olhanense
0 : 2
Imortal
02 Apr
SC Praiense
5 : 0
Olhanense
18 Mar
Olhanense
2 : 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)