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Luxembourg U21 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2023 Stade Emile Mayrisch
Luxembourg U21 Logo

Luxembourg U21

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Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Logo

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luxembourg U21 play Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 in the Euro U21 2023. Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 are favorites here. Recently, Luxembourg U21 averaged 0.57 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Luxembourg U21 won 1, Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 25, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Luxembourg U21 and 1.25 for Bosnia & Herzegovina U21. This points to a Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Luxembourg U21
15%
Draws
59%
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bosnia & Herzegovina U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Luxembourg U21 picked up more points recently compared to Bosnia & Herzegovina U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Luxembourg U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luxembourg U21 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.57 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2022 Euro U21
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 vs Luxembourg U21
1:0
Oct 12, 2021 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0:2
Mar 2, 2010 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0:1
Sep 4, 2009 Euro U21
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 vs Luxembourg U21
0:1
Sep 9, 2003 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Savic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dedic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg U21 27 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luxembourg U21 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Luxembourg U21 attacking → ← attacking Bosnia & Herzegovina U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luxembourg U21 scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Luxembourg U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U211080226:1124
2Croatia U211071225:1022
3Finland U211061318:1319
4Austria U211051422:1316
5Azerbaijan U211021712:247
6Estonia U211000100:320
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U211090132:927
2Israel U211061319:1019
3Poland U211053226:918
4Hungary U211042416:1714
5Latvia U21102175:197
6San Marino U21100190:341
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U21880037:524
2Slovakia U21850318:1015
3Northern Ireland U2182158:187
4Lithuania U2182157:227
5Malta U21820610:256
6Russia U2100000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal U211091041:328
2Iceland U211053225:718
3Greece U211052316:1017
4Belarus U211040616:1512
5Cyprus U211032516:1611
6Liechtenstein U211000100:630
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U211082032:326
2Switzerland U211072122:623
3Moldova U21103347:1212
4Wales U211032515:1411
5Bulgaria U211024410:1110
6Gibraltar U21100191:411
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U211073019:524
2Ireland U211061316:1019
3Sweden U211053222:818
4Bosnia & Herzegovina U21103259:1611
5Montenegro U211032514:1711
6Luxembourg U21100192:261
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U211081126:725
2Czech Republic U211071223:622
3Slovenia U211044211:716
4Kosovo U21103348:1312
5Albania U21103169:1710
6Andorra U211000101:280
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U211082031:526
2Ukraine U211072120:1123
3Serbia U211033410:1112
4Faroe Islands U21102446:1210
5North Macedonia U21102358:159
6Armenia U21101097:283
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium U21862014:220
2Denmark U21852112:617
3Turkey U2182247:118
4Scotland U2181436:107
5Kazakhstan U2180264:142