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Luziania vs Ceilandia

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
Luziania Logo

Luziania

1 - 3
FT
Ceilandia Logo

Ceilandia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Luziania
17%
Draws
13%
Ceilandia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ceilandia lately — more wins on the board than Luziania.
  • Model gives Luziania a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Luziania Clean Sheet 18%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Ceilandia
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 12
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2022 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandia
1:3
May 12, 2021 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandia
2:4
Apr 24, 2021 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Luziania
1:1
Apr 7, 2021 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandia
1:2
Mar 18, 2020 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandia
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 67 / 100
Ceilandia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Ceilandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Luziania scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ceilandia conceded in 74% of 43 recent games.

Luziania has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ceilandia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
Page 1 of 6

Ceilandia

(Away)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
2 Capital 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
3 Brasiliense 9 5 1 3 23:12 16
4 Gama 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
5 Santa Maria 9 3 3 3 15:16 12
6 Paranoa 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
8 Taguatinga 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
9 Unai EC 9 2 3 4 12:15 9
10 Luziania 9 0 2 7 7:25 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)