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M. Lipetsk vs Spartak Tambov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gurchenko D.
Penalty Missed
90' Event
Gurchenko D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between M. Lipetsk and Spartak Tambov finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
M. Lipetsk
39%
Draws
31%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 68%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Lipetsk Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs M. Lipetsk
2:1
Aug 19, 2025 Russian Cup
Spartak Tambov vs M. Lipetsk
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Spartak Tambov
2:1
Jul 10, 2023 Club Friendly
M. Lipetsk vs Spartak Tambov
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Lipetsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurchenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Lipetsk 41 / 100
Spartak Tambov 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Lipetsk Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Lipetsk found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

M. Lipetsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Spartak Tambov conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

M. Lipetsk VS Spartak Tambov
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Lipetsk

(Home)
04 Jul
FC Oryol
0 : 2
M. Lipetsk
27 Jun
M. Lipetsk
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
20 Jun
Saturn Ramenskoye
1 : 0
M. Lipetsk
13 Jun
Penza
2 : 3
M. Lipetsk
06 Jun
M. Lipetsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
27 Jun
Spartak Tambov
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
20 Jun
Ryazan
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
13 Jun
Spartak Tambov
1 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
06 Jun
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
Spartak Tambov
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