Sport Picks

Stadium Background

M. Nazareth vs Beit Shean

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North 2025/2026
Fri, Apr 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

M. Nazareth host Beit Shean in the Liga Alef North 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. M. Nazareth have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Beit Shean's 1.17 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor M. Nazareth slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.19 - 0.75) back M. Nazareth to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
M. Nazareth
20%
Draws
47%
Beit Shean
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beit Shean

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • M. Nazareth have won more games recently than Beit Shean.
  • Model gives M. Nazareth a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 20%
Beit Shean Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Beit Shean
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Beit Shean
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs M. Nazareth
0:0
Apr 25, 2025 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs M. Nazareth
0:0
Jan 24, 2025 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Beit Shean
0:0
Apr 12, 2002 Leumit League
Beit Shean vs M. Nazareth
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 40 / 100
Beit Shean 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Beit Shean

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick M. Nazareth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Nazareth found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

Defensive concern: Beit Shean conceded in 61% of 18 recent games.

M. Nazareth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Beit Shean
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
24 Aug
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 4

Beit Shean

(Away)
23 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 0
Beit Shean
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0
MS Tira
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
06 Feb
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 1
Beit Shean
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 M. Nazareth 21 15 3 3 44:17 48
2 MS Tira 22 13 3 6 42:23 42
3 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 22 10 8 4 35:21 38
4 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 22 10 6 6 34:29 36
5 Hapoel Karmiel 22 9 6 7 30:23 33
6 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 21 9 6 6 28:28 33
7 Beit Shean 22 8 8 6 28:27 32
8 Ironi Baka 22 9 4 9 33:30 31
9 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 22 8 6 8 29:25 30
10 Ironi Nesher 22 8 5 9 28:37 29
11 FC Tzeirey Tamra 22 7 3 12 32:47 24
12 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 22 5 6 11 30:39 21
13 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 22 8 7 7 29:23 17
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 21 4 5 12 16:36 17
15 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 21 3 3 15 16:42 12
16 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 22 6 5 11 30:37 11
17 Tzeirei Kafr Kanna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)