Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Abed A.
15'
15'
Mowasi H.
34'
34'
Suleiman K.
AI Match Summary
M. Nazareth in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored M. Nazareth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: M. Nazareth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- M. Nazareth have won more games recently than Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on M. Nazareth taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | M. Nazareth | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 21 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3:2
Sep 8, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs M. Nazareth
0:1
Feb 20, 2023 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:2
Oct 28, 2022 Leumit League
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs M. Nazareth
3:0
Jan 7, 2022 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
M. Nazareth Compare
Top Goalscorer Abed A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mowasi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare
Top Goalscorer Bayan A. R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mordechay R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
M. Nazareth 42 / 100
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
M. Nazareth Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
M. Nazareth scored in 86% of their last 21 games.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
M. Nazareth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
M. Nazareth VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
M. Nazareth
(Home) 20 Feb
Ironi Baka
0 : 3 M. Nazareth
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
06 Feb
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
2 : 2 M. Nazareth
30 Jan
M. Nazareth
0 : 1 MS Tira
23 Jan
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1 : 2 M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 5
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
30 Jan
M. Nazareth
0 : 1 MS Tira
17 Jan
M. Nazareth
3 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
10 Jan
M. Nazareth
2 : 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
02 Jan
M. Nazareth
2 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
(Away) 26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3 Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 5
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
17 Jan
M. Nazareth
3 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
13 Jan
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
02 Jan
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 3 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nazareth | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 48 |
| 2 | MS Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42:23 | 42 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:21 | 38 |
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:29 | 36 |
| 5 | Hapoel Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:23 | 33 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:28 | 33 |
| 7 | Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:27 | 32 |
| 8 | Ironi Baka | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:30 | 31 |
| 9 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | 30 |
| 10 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | 21 |
| 13 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 17 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:36 | 17 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16:42 | 12 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30:37 | 11 |
| 17 | Tzeirei Kafr Kanna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
