Sport Picks
M. Nazareth vs MS Tira Prediction & H2H Stats
Israel
Liga Alef North 2025/2026 
Match Events
66'
66'
Baloum K.
AI Match Summary
MS Tira in this Liga Alef North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MS Tira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MS Tira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- M. Nazareth haven't matched MS Tira's recent run of results.
- MS Tira are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga Alef North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors MS Tira here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 20%
MS Tira Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | M. Nazareth | MS Tira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 18 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2026 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs MS Tira
0:1
Sep 18, 2025 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs M. Nazareth
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs MS Tira
0:0
Dec 24, 2024 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs M. Nazareth
3:0
Mar 21, 2024 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs M. Nazareth
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
M. Nazareth Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
MS Tira Compare
Top Goalscorer Baloum K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
M. Nazareth 20 / 100
MS Tira 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
M. Nazareth MS Tira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MS Tira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
M. Nazareth's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 19 recent games.
MS Tira has conceded goals in 61% of their last 18 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
M. Nazareth went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
M. Nazareth VS MS Tira
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
M. Nazareth
(Home) 01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2 Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0 M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0 Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3 M. Nazareth
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Page 1 of 4
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2 Ironi Modiin
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0 Hapoel Akko
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
24 Aug
M. Nazareth
0 : 1 Hapoel Afula
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Page 1 of 2
MS Tira
(Away) 30 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
2 : 3 MS Tira
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
1 : 1 MS Tira
10 Sept
MS Tira
4 : 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
04 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 1 MS Tira
Page 1 of 4
30 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
2 : 3 MS Tira
18 Sept
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
1 : 1 MS Tira
04 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 1 MS Tira
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0 MS Tira
13 Feb
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 3 MS Tira
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nazareth | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 48 |
| 2 | MS Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42:23 | 42 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:21 | 38 |
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:29 | 36 |
| 5 | Hapoel Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:23 | 33 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:28 | 33 |
| 7 | Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:27 | 32 |
| 8 | Ironi Baka | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:30 | 31 |
| 9 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | 30 |
| 10 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | 21 |
| 13 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 17 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:36 | 17 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16:42 | 12 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30:37 | 11 |
| 17 | Tzeirei Kafr Kanna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
