Sport Picks
Maardu Aliens vs FC Tallinn
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2023/2024. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Maardu Aliens have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against FC Tallinn's 1.75 scored and 2.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Maardu Aliens slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.98 vs 1.43, favoring FC Tallinn. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tallinn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Maardu Aliens haven't matched FC Tallinn's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Tallinn a 90% chance of winning this.
- FC Tallinn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Maardu Aliens Clean Sheet 17%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maardu Aliens | FC Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2023 Estonian Cup
Maardu Aliens vs FC Tallinn
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maardu Aliens 10 / 100
FC Tallinn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maardu Aliens FC Tallinn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tallinn has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Maardu Aliens found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).
H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.
FC Tallinn lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS FC Tallinn
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maardu Aliens
(Home) 26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
31 Jul
Maardu Aliens
0 : 12 Kuressaare
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
: FC Tallinn
30 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
5 : 4 Maardu Aliens
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
2 : 3 Eston Villa
Page 1 of 2
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
31 Jul
Maardu Aliens
0 : 12 Kuressaare
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
: FC Tallinn
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
2 : 3 Eston Villa
30 Aug
Maardu Aliens
0 : 3 Elva
Page 1 of 2
FC Tallinn
(Away) 28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2 FC Tallinn
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3 Elva
04 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 3 Nomme Utd U21
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0 FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2 FC Tallinn
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0 FC Tallinn
13 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0 FC Tallinn
01 Jun
Kalju U21
1 : 3 FC Tallinn
07 May
Elva
2 : 0 FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2-
TBD-
Tartu Kalev9
FC Sssolutions0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia-
Tallinna Kalev III0
Legion10
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Alliance-
Elva-
TBD-
TBD-
Saue JK Laagri-
Tervis Parnu-
TBD-
TBD-
FCP Parnu-
Maksatransport-
TBD-
TBD-
Loo JK-
Raplamaa-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
Valga Warrior-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Arukula Vigri-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora IV-
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Kristiine2
Kohvile3
Viimsi JK4
Paide Linnameeskond III0
Narva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna2
Rumori Calcio4
Zenit Tallinn3
Hiiumaa1
Tallinna Gorillad-
TBD-
TBD-
Tabasalu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu-
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Jogeva Wolves0
Kuressaare8
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet-
TBD-
TBD-
Kose-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
Keila JK11
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Legion II-
TBD-
TBD-
Soccernet-
Kalju-
TBD-
Tabasalu Ulasabat4
Flora U190
TransferWise1
Tallinna Wolves0
TBD-
Tulevik-
Rumori Calcio II-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn-
Harju JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
Pelgu City-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Vandra Vaprus-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev20
Vana Hea Puur0
Drakon0
Nomme Utd12
TBD-
Tallinn Piraaja-
Eston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
Marjamaa Kompanii-
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 22
Tartu Kalev3
TBD-
Levadia-
Legion3
Johvi Phoenix0
Tammeka Tartu-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus6
FC Alliance1
Elva1
Saue JK Laagri0
Tervis Parnu8
FCP Parnu3
Maksatransport5
Loo JK1
Raplamaa1
Laanemaa Haapsalu5
Valga Warrior1
JK Poseidon6
Arukula Vigri3
Flora IV2
Maardu Aliens-
FC Tallinn-
Kohvile0
Viimsi JK3
Narva-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio3
Zenit Tallinn8
Tallinna Gorillad0
Tabasalu16
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm2
Parnu0
Saku Sporting2
Tallinna Kalev U213
Kuressaare-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet0
Kose4
Flora Tallinn U212
Keila JK0
Legion II3
Soccernet1
Kalju4
Tabasalu Ulasabat0
TransferWise0
Tulevik3
Rumori Calcio II0
Olympic Tallinn3
Harju JK Laagri12
Pelgu City0
Tallinna FC Zapoos6
Vandra Vaprus0
Tartu JK Welco0
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd4
Tallinn Piraaja0
Eston Villa3
Marjamaa Kompanii0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev2
Levadia6
Legion1
Tammeka Tartu3
Flora1
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Elva5
Tervis Parnu2
Maksatransport0
Laanemaa Haapsalu3
JK Poseidon2
Arukula Vigri3
FC Tallinn1
Viimsi JK2
Narva5
Zenit Tallinn0
Tabasalu1
Paide Linnameeskond3
Helm3
Tallinna Kalev U217
Kuressaare9
Kose1
Flora Tallinn U2113
Legion II0
Kalju5
Tulevik1
Olympic Tallinn0
Harju JK Laagri8
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd11
Eston Villa1
1/8-finals
Levadia4
Tammeka Tartu2
Flora10
Elva0
Laanemaa Haapsalu9
Arukula Vigri1
Viimsi JK1
Narva0
Paide Linnameeskond4
Tallinna Kalev U210
Kuressaare4
Flora Tallinn U212
Kalju3
Harju JK Laagri1
Tallinna Kalev3
Nomme Utd1
Quarter-finals
Levadia2
Flora1
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Viimsi JK3
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
Tallinna Kalev1
Semi-finals
Levadia1
Viimsi JK0
Paide Linnameeskond3
Kalju1
Final
Levadia4
Paide Linnameeskond2
