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Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion, Maardu
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond host Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Maardu Linnameeskond at 1.63 goals for, 1.89 against; Flora Tallinn U21 at 2.41 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Maardu Linnameeskond have won 2 to Flora Tallinn U21's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.88, favoring Maardu Linnameeskond. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Maardu Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
31%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora Tallinn U21 lately — more wins on the board than Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:3
Jul 9, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:2
May 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
5:0
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 34 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Maardu Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Flora Tallinn U21
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)