Sport Picks
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
Estonia
Esiliiga Maardu kunstmuruväljak - Artificial grass, Maardu 
Match Events
79'
79'
Ilves R.
86'
86'
Kirsipuu S.
90'
90'
Kouadio E.
Assist: Volkov A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tallinna Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Maardu Linnameeskond.
- Win probability leans Tallinna Kalev's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maardu Linnameeskond | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
3:3
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1
Nov 21, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0
Sep 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maardu Linnameeskond Compare
Top Goalscorer Kouadio E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Tallinna Kalev Compare
Top Goalscorer Ilves R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maardu Linnameeskond 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maardu Linnameeskond Tallinna Kalev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna Kalev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Maardu Linnameeskond has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Maardu Linnameeskond VS Tallinna Kalev
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maardu Linnameeskond
(Home) 18 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3 Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
03 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3 Maardu Linnameeskond
22 Jun
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 0 Viimsi JK
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13 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
22 Jun
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 0 Viimsi JK
18 Jun
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1 Kalju U21
24 May
Maardu Linnameeskond
0 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
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Tallinna Kalev
(Away) 23 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U19
0 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
18 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 1 Nomme Utd U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
03 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3 Maardu Linnameeskond
21 Jun
Tallinna Kalev
5 : 1 Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U19
0 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
18 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
14 Jun
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
24 May
Elva
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 62:26 | 45 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 51:38 | 34 |
| 4 | Elva | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 39:35 | 27 |
| 6 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30:47 | 26 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 40:40 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:49 | 20 |
| 9 | Nomme Utd U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 36:48 | 20 |
| 10 | Kalju U21 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 30:51 | 19 |
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)
